Regarding Typhoon Yinxing / Marce

NOTE: Weather forecasts beyond two to three days become scientific guesses.

By the time the storm reaches  southern Vietnam it may have diminished to a tropical storm.  The storm should have very little local effect, if any at all.

Interesting to note  is the MSN forcast (click 10 days) plots the storm moving north once reaching the area around Da Nang sometime next Tuesday. Suggesting it may diminish and come our way.

AccuWeather forecasts mostly cloudy with a bit of rain in the afternoon Thursday 14 November, with thunderstorms lasting through early friday.

Wunderground limits rain at of below 20%. Other weather services nixed any chance of local rain

MEANWHILE  Next three days temperatures may drop below 20 overnight

(Image 21 November 2017)

  สกลนคร Sakon Nakhon

It's official Thai Winter starts today . . .

. . . and has been declared to end 28 February 

 Predictions spreading on social media indicate a cooler than normal winter. Blamed on La Nina.

From personal experience over the past two decades there were maybe a handful of 9C days. Most cool days were in the low teens. 

It's been said that temperatures of 10C and below kill off mosquitoes.

Cooling temperatures also is the start of colds and flu season. I'm already nursing a sore throat.

Forecasts indicate chilly nights ahead.  All depends on location. Obviously mountain areas will experience cooler temperatures. 

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I'm guessing I will be watering my plants

Cool this morning. Cooler temperatures expected this weekend. 
six of ten forcaster predict rain Sunday afternoon and  overnight.    

                                                              

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Change in weather pattern has got forecasters guessing

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Cool Temperatures postponed

We had a few cool days and hopes were running high for a cool season ahead. Unfortunately the immediate forecast continues with increased huidity, which will feel like it's hotter. 

 

Next cool spell is anticipated in early November

Variables in temperature forecasts most likely are due to location within the province
 

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Tropical Depression Sixteen

Latest update at Wunderground indicates we may be spared from a direct hit.

For updates follow the wunderground link
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Storm Heading to our front door

Of the 10 different weather services I monitor, most seem to have varied forecasts. 

While some indicate the heavy rains will reach us over the weekend, YR and Wunderground are forecasting the heavy rain will be Thursday through Friday.

Even the path of the storm differs to some degree.  Just in Case they are right, I'm preparing for a direct hit as forecast by ventusky

At the moment its considered a tropical depression. It could increase in intensity as it moves over water. It is expected to diminish once it enters Vietnam สกลนคร Sakon Nakhon

ONWR warns against heightened water level in Mekong during 18 and 21

Rainy season late start, mostly below average rainfall. Phuket cleaning up after flooding

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Easing into the rainy season

Sattelite images seem to indicate change in weather patern. Recently arriving from the south and southwest, local weather is now arriving from the north and from the east. The change is very typical for this time of the year

NOTE: Click image for link to updated, current image

A system anticipated today is arriving from the east according to animations  at the weather channel

For now expected rains and/or thunderstorms are forecast as 'scattered / in spots / isolated' สกลนคร Sakon Nakhon

It's that time of the year, it could happen again

YYMMDD

Always wondered why they dont dredge the lake and reservoirs to save more water as the population increases.

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Tropical rain overnight, much needed

A few of my hibiscus plants bent from the heavy tropical rains overnight.  

Really gave the ground a well needed soaking.  

I was able to push a bamboo stick three inches into a ground which was hard as rock before the dousing.

Scattered rain is in the forecast every day. The catchphrase is "scattered" translated to  maybe.

My Forecast

Wait a few days till the temperatures heat up again and all that water in the ground becomes humidity

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El Niño weakening, neutral conditions may be short lived, La Niña arrival expected June or July

If you want to know when the rainy season really starts, then check when the monks start their rain retreat.

Starts with the Wan Khao Phansa celebrations, this year it's July 21.

Ends with the Awk Phansa celebration on the October full moon.

Day before  Awk Phansa is the Sakon Nakhon Wax Castle parade.

During this period the majority of the weather arrived from the Pacific ocean

May 2024 ENSO update: we’re 10! | NOAA Climate.govสกลนคร Sakon Nakhon

Scattered Thunderstorms. Been hearing that for days, last sprinkle was Tuesday

Pictured is a loop provided by TMD at 7 am 

click image for updated loop

Rain chance

BBC 🕛 45% 🕐 48%

wunderground 🕚 through 🕛 88%

weather com 🕚 through 🕛 88%

YR 🕑 1.8mm

MSN Today mostly sunny skies
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Hot weather continues

Noteworthy is the continued difference between 'REAL' and 'FEELS LIKE' temperatures. At times there is a ten degree celsius difference, mostly caused by humidity

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Hotter period seems to be lasting longer

Looking at thermometer photos I have, we've had these hot temperatures before. 

What seems to have changed is the hotter period is lasting longer.

Expect to see these high temperatures till the end of  April.             May will bring 'slight' relief. 

Second season (spring) rice crop may not happen due to anticipated extended drought.

Later on we will begin the transition from El Niño to La Niña.สกลนคร Sakon Nakhon

It's hot and getting hotter

Celcius

Depending on your location, you may need to add a degree or two. สกลนคร Sakon Nakhon

Consider today the coolest 🥵. 🥵. 🥵🥵. 🥵. then starts "HOT APRIL"

blue - green - red are 'FEELS LIKE' temperatures 

brown - orange are 'REAL' temperatures 

 Any way you look at it, hot season has arrived

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The air we breathe

Smog and dust has been on the increase since mid February,

I'd suspect this will continue until there is some heavy rain.

Humidity is on the increase, which seems to make the smog more noticeable.

*** May require more frequent air conditioner maintenance

    

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A Hot Time In The Old Town . . . 🌡️🌡️ 🌡️ 🌡️

Forecasters differ on anticipated temperatures, but they do agree it's about to get warmer 

[1930] Screen Songs Cartoon